Project Description
In response to the 2020 East African Desert Locust crisis, we collaborated with PlantVillage (the world’s leading knowledge delivery system for African farmers) to develop PLAN, an end-to-end Deep Learning engine that can learn effective representations from sparse crowdsourced spatiotemporal data to provide early warnings to county governments in Kenya that are likely to be affected by Desert Locust swarms, so that preventative actions can be taken early. PLAN's deep learning architecture leverages crowdsourced reports of locust observations collected by PlantVillage, and utilizes multi-channel Convolutional Neural Nets (CNNs) to capture spatial dependency of locust presence/absence among nearby geographic regions. At the same, PLAN uses a multi-view Recurrent Neural Net (RNN) to capture temporal dependencies of locust presence/absence with meteorological factors. The output from these two networks is combined to create heatmap forecasts of locust absence/presence over large geographic regions.
In India, we have developed reinforcement learning algorithms to find optimal policies for spreading local news (about government injustices) from CGNetSwara (a local audio-based media platform) among low-literate farmers in a cost-effective manner, which is necessary to ensure CGNetSwara's financial sustainability \cite{yadavreferral}. Finally, we have also developed PECAD, a prediction engine for Indian agriculture produce based on sparse spatio-temporal pricing data.
Publications
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Maryam Tabar, Dongwon Lee, David Hughes, and Amulya Yadav. Mitigating Low Agricultural Productivity of Smallholder Farms in Africa: Time-Series Forecasting for Environmental Stressors. In Proc. 34th AAAI Conference on Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence (IAAI), 2022.
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Maryam Tabar, Jared Gluck, Anchit Goyal, Fei Jiang, Derek Morr, Annalyse Kehs, Dongwon Lee, David Hughes, and Amulya Yadav. A PLAN for Tackling the Locust Crisis in East Africa: Harnessing Spatiotemporal Deep Models for Locust Movement Forecasting. In Proc. 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD), pp. 3595–3604, 2021.
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Maryam Tabar, Chi-Yang Hsu, Hangzhi Guo, Amirreza Bagherzadehkhorasani and Amulya Yadav. Ameliorating Farmer Suicides by Predicting Crop Price Trends using a Deep Learning Approach. In Proc. ECAI 2020 International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence for a Fair, Just and Equitable World (AI4EQ), 2020.
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Hangzhi Guo, Alexander Woodruff, Amulya Yadav. Improving Lives of Indebted Farmers Using Deep Learning: Predicting Agricultural Produce Prices Using Convolutional Neural Networks. In Proc. 32nd Intl. Conf. on Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence (IAAI), pp. 13294–13299, 2020.
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Ramaravind Kommiya Mothilal, Amulya Yadav, Amit Sharma. Optimizing Peer Referrals for Public Awareness using Contextual Bandits. In Proc. 2nd Intl. ACM Conf. on Computing & Sustainable Societies (COMPASS), pp. 74-85, 2019.